Exclusive FNG… FNG has learned from various sources that US broker Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ:HOOD) is beginning to aggressively expand its event contract prediction market offerings.
The effort began last Friday (Oct. 17), when Robinhood added 20 political event contracts to its lineup, and continued this week with the launch of another 15 election contracts, including several around the hotly debated New York mayoral race, the new NBA pro basketball season and the upcoming World Series. Series.
In the coming weeks and months Robinhood plans to add 100+ new event contracts in sports, politics, economics, business, culture and more. New contracts will apparently drop on a weekly basis, with updates shared via @RobinhoodApp on X.
Robinhood’s event contract prediction markets have received significant attention for their rapid growth, after the company offered its first event contract for the 2024 presidential election and then launched a dedicated Prediction Markets Hub earlier this spring. We reported late last month that Robinhood shares hit an all-time high after the company was added to the S&P 500 index, and it revealed significant growth in event contract customer trading.
Prediction markets allow Robinhood customers to use an “Event Contract,” or binary option, to make a prediction on the outcome of an event – such as a College or NFL football game or an election.
The political event contracts Robinhood released last week and this week, as well as the sports event contracts released this week, include the following.
Start of Political Contracts 17/10
- Powell as president?
- Who will pardon President Trump this year?
- The President’s RCP approval rating on January 1, 2026?
- How much government spending will Trump cut this year?
- Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
- How many government employees will Trump cut in 2025?
- With which countries will the US make a trade deal this year?
- How much will the government increase spending this year?
- What will be the US tariff on China on January 1, 2026?
- Will Trump impose drug tariffs this year?
- Another US credit downgrade this year?
- Will Trump impose tariffs on semiconductors this year?
- Will Trump Create a Bitcoin National Reserve This Year?
- Which countries will impose tariffs on the US this year?
- Will the Fed cut rates by more than 25 bps this year?
- Who will Trump meet with this year?
- Is Lisa Cook Out As Fed Governor This Year?
- Is AI regulation becoming federal law this year?
- Total US debt will be over $38T at the end of 2025?
Start of electoral contracts 22/10
New York
- Election of Mayor of New York
- What % of the vote will Cuomo receive in the New York mayoral election?
- What % of the vote will Mamdani get in the New York mayoral election?
- What % of the vote will Sliwa receive in the New York mayoral election?
- Zohran Mamdani’s margin of victory in the New York City elections?
New Jersey
- New Jersey Governor Winner?
- Mikie Sherrill margin of victory in New Jersey gubernatorial election?
- Who Will Win the Election for Mayor in Jersey City?
Virginia
- Virginia gubernatorial winner?
- Will Democrats sweep all three Virginia state elections?
Throughout the territory
- Who Will Win the Mayoral Election in Seattle?
- Who will win the mayoral election in Miami?
- Who Will Win the Mayoral Election in Minneapolis?
- Democratic sweep this year? (Virginia Governor, Virginia House of Representatives, New Jersey Gubernatorial Election and Mamdani Wins New York Mayoral Election)
- Which US election will be the closest this year? (2025 Governor of Virginia, Lieutenant Governor of Virginia, Attorney General of Virginia, Governor of New Jersey, Mayor of New York and California Proposition 50 elections)
- Will progressive mayors sweep this year? (Boston, New York, Seattle, Minneapolis)
Sports contracts went live this week
- All men’s professional basketball regular season games
- Who will win the men’s basketball championship?
- Who will win the men’s pro basketball western conference championship?
- Who will win the men’s pro basketball eastern conference championship?
- Win sets for all professional men’s basketball teams
- Men’s Basketball Pro MVP, Rookie of the Year, Sixth Player of the Year, Most Improved Player, Coach of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year
- World Series Games 1 and 2
- World Series Champion – Toronto Blue Jays or Los Angeles Dodgers